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Williams: Massive Selling of US Currency Ahead

John Williams recently stated:

Despite November 9th’s historic high gold price of $1,421.00 per troy ounce (London afternoon fix) and the multi-decade high silver price of $30.50 per troy ounce (London fix) on December 7th, gold and silver prices have yet to approach their historic high levels, adjusted for inflation.

The earlier all-time high of $850.00 of January 21, 1980 would be $2,391 per troy ounce, based on November 2010 CPI-U-adjusted dollars, and would be $7,840 per troy ounce in terms of SGS-Alternate-CPI-adjusted dollars.

The Real Tragedy in Greece

Yesterday the world witnessed a new and more severe outbreak of violence in Greece.  Youths and union members clashed with police in a riot complete with tear gas, flash grenades, molotov cocktails, and tens of thousands of protestors.

What, exactly, were they rioting about?  The answer is actually quite simple.  They don't like the austerity being imposed on them by a government desperately seeking to find some sort of fiscal discipine, something to which neither the government nor the public sector workers are accustomed.

Bernanke's Fleet

Today Ben Bernanke announced that he would print up $600 billion dollars, with which he will buy government bonds.

A few years ago, $600 billion sounded like a lot of money.  Today, that's just an average government-sized chunk of change.

To put it in perspective, take a look at this helicopter:

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The Price of T-Bills in China and the US Economy

The Chinese have raised their interest rates, causing a ripple effect in markets across the globe.

So, what are the ramifications of this move?

First, we note that this is something that the US officials have been pushing for, at least in theory. The political and economic saber rattling in recent weeks has been part of the race to debase, in which the major developed nations have been eager participants. Our leaders seem to have succeeded in persuading the Chinese officials to strengthen their currency.

As the theory goes, this will be good for US exports. With a stronger currency, the Chinese people will be able to afford to buy more of our manufactured goods. This will bolster the American economy in general, and manufacturing jobs in particular. This would all be good theory if we actually made things that the Chinese buy.

But we don’t, so it isn’t.

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